Technology | John Barrdear

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Killing the worlds’ poor through good intentions

This sort of stuff makes me very, very angry.

Kerry Howley, writing at Reason, does an interview with Robert Paarlberg:

In May 2002, in the midst of a severe food shortage in sub-Saharan Africa, the government of Zimbabwe turned away 10,000 tons of corn from the World Food Program (WFP). The WFP then diverted the food to other countries, including Zambia, where 2.5 million people were in need. The Zambian government locked away the corn, banned its distribution, and stopped another shipment on its way to the country. “Simply because my people are hungry,” President Levy Mwanawasa later said, “is no justification to give them poison.”

The corn came from farms in the United States, where most corn produced—and consumed—comes from seeds that have been engineered to resist some pests, and thus qualifies as genetically modified. Throughout the 90s, genetically modified foods were seen as holding promise for the farmers of Africa, so long as multinationals would invest in developing superior African crops rather than extend the technology only to the rich. When Zambia and Zimbabwe turned away food aid, simmering controversy over the crops themselves brimmed over and seeped into almost every African state. Cast as toxic to humans, destructive to the environment, and part of a corporate plot to immiserate the poor, cutting edge farming technology is most feared where it is most needed. As Robert Paarlberg notes in his new book, Starved for Science: How Biotechnology is Being Kept Out of Africa (Harvard University Press), in 2004 the Sudanese government “took time out from its genocidal suppression of a rebellion in Darfur to issue a memorandum requiring that all food aid brought into the country should be certified as free of any GM ingredients.”

Starved for Science includes forwards by both Jimmy Carter and Norman Borlaug, the architect of Asia’s Green Revolution and the man credited with saving more human lives than anyone else in history. Paarlberg, a Professor of Political Science at Wellesley and a specialist in agricultural policy, wants the West to help small African farmers obtain promising technologies just as it helped Asia discover biological breakthroughs in the 60s and 70s. Instead, he says, a coalition of European governments and African elites are promoting a Western vision of rustic, low-productivity labor.

Do read the entire thing. Megan McArdle offers her comment here:

My understanding at the time was that this was even worse than ignorance: Africans keep out relief grain because they know that farmers will hold some of it for seed. They were afraid that if GM entered the food chain, they would that never, ever be able to export any plant products to Europe because of their stringent regulations (these have, I believe, been somewhat relaxed). So even if the president of Zambia knew GM was harmless, he couldn’t risk permanently impairing his country’s economic future.

In fact, let me quote some more from Howley’s interview with Paarlsberg:

reason: Can you give us a sense of what an average African farmer in, say, Zambia, is currently working with?

Paarlberg: It would be a woman and her children primarily, and they would plant not a hybrid maize, but a traditional openly pollinated variety, and they would time the preparation of the soil and planting as best they could for when they thought the rains would come. But the rains might not come in time, or they might be too heavy and wash the seeds out of the ground. It’s a risky endeavor. They can’t afford fertilizer, and it’s too risky to use fertilizer because in a drought the maize would shrivel up and the fertilizer would be wasted. They don’t have any irrigation. As a consequence, even in a good year their yields per hectare will be only about one third as high as in Asian countries, 1/10 as high as in the United States.

reason: Just as it used to be in Asia.

Paarlberg: Everywhere!

reason: No African government other than South Africa’s has made it legal to plant GMOs. You call this “out of character” for the same governments.

Paarlberg: They have not yet enacted the law, set up the biosafety committee, and granted approval, which is the laborious process that [the United Nations Environmental Program] and the European governments have coached them into adopting.

It’s interesting. In no other area are governments in Africa particularly concerned about hypothetical environmental risks. They know better than to invoke the precautionary principle when it comes to unsafe food in open air markets. They know that they need to first get rid of actual food shortages and raise income; then and only then can they afford to impose the same extremely high standards of food safety on open air markets that are imposed on supermarkets in Europe. Yet curiously when it comes to GMOs they adopt the highly precautionary European standard, which makes it impossible to put these products on the market at all. I take that as evidence that this is not an authentic African response, it’s a response imported from Europe.

reason: So the romanticization of bucolic farm landscapes unmarred by scientific advance has an American and European pedigree.

Paarlberg: It’s not what we do at home—only two percent of agricultural products in the US are organically grown. And many of those that are organically grown are grown on industrial scale organic farms in California that don’t bear any resemblance to small bucolic farms. But it’s the image we promote in our new cultural narrative. It’s something that affects the way we give foreign assistance.

reason: Many of the anti-agricultural science gurus you mention in your book have a spiritual dimension. Can you talk a bit about Sylvester Graham?

Paarlberg: Sylvester Graham, the father of the modern graham cracker, was opposed to the modern flour milling industry. He didn’t like the industrialization of bread production, and he wanted women to go back to grinding flour. He was a religious man, a minister, and he had all of the narrow minded prejudices we might associate with a New England clergyman from the 19th century. He thought that women should stay in the home, he believed people should be vegetarians because that would keep their sexual appetite back. We sometimes forget what goes along with the food purist zealotry. It’s often zealotry about more than just a certain kind of food to eat.

In Zambia today there are expatriate Jesuits from the United States who have come to believe genetic engineering is against God’s teaching, though this is not a belief that is embraced by the Vatican. They believe that all living things, including plants, have a right not to have their genetic makeup modified. Of course we have been modifying the genetic makeup of plants ever since we domesticated them 10,000 years ago, but these particular fathers are focused only on genetic engineering.

reason: Isn’t it paternalistic to blame Europeans for the decisions of African governments? Is this something African elites are at least as complicit in?

Paarlberg: It’s a codependency. The African elites depend upon Europe for financial assistance, they depend upon European export markets, they depend on NGOs for technical assistance, it’s just easier for them to follow the European lead than to go against that lead. And to some extent the European governments depend upon having dependents in Africa that will, despite the difficult experience of colonization, continue to imitate and validate and honor European culture and taste.

reason: What exactly have European NGOs done to discourage productivity in farming? You quote Doug Parr, a chemist at Greenpeace, arguing that the de facto organic status of farms in Africa is an opportunity to lock in organic farming, since African farmers have yet to advance beyond that.

Paarlberg: Some of it is well intentioned. The organic farming movement believes this is an appropriate corrective to the chemical intensive farming that they see in Europe. In Europe, where prosperous consumers are willing to pay a premium for organic products, it sometimes makes sense to use a more costly production process. So they think, “Well it’s the wave of the future here in Europe, so it should be the future in Africa as well.”

So they tell Africans who don’t use enough fertilizer that instead of using more they should go to zero and certify themselves as organic. That’s probably the most damaging influence — discouraging Africans from using enough fertilizer to restore the nutrients they mine out of their soil. They classify African farmers as either certified organic, or de facto organic. Indeed, many are de facto organic. And their goal is not to increase the productivity of the organic farmers, but to certify them as organic.

I just find that to be lacking in moral clarity.

A request for help: wordpress stats

In case any of my viewers knows anything about wordpress … I just posted this support request over at wordpress.org:

I am using v1.1.1 of the Wordpress.com stats plugin. Since I installed it (on the 30th of January), the statistics I see on wordpress.com have been odd, to say the least.

I realise that what I see on wordpress.com stats does not include my own page views, so those stats ought to be lower than the total views.

Here are the stats thus-far for February via wordpress.com: http://barrdear.com/john/stuff/wordpress_stats.jpg

Here are the stats for the same period from my host: http://barrdear.com/john/stuff/site_stats.jpg

For example, wordpress.com thinks that my “Beaten to the punch” post has seen 13 hits, but my host reports 3 views (1 entry, 1 exit).

What appears (to me) to be happening is that wordpress.com is recording hits to several posts against just one post.

As another example, my site gets aggregated here: http://ozpolitics.info/feeds. When someone clicks on the link on that page, they come through to the post-specific page on my site. Wordpress.com stats are recognising ozpolitics.info/feeds as the referrer, but not the post-specific page as a hit.

Here is a specific example: http://barrdear.com/john/stuff/stat_inconsistency.jpg

Notice that yesterday I got two referrals from ozpolitics.info/feeds. I only had two articles listed on the ozpolitics feed yesterday: “Idle Curiosity” and “Sweating the small stuff”, neither of which is listed as getting a hit in yesterday’s posts.

If anyone out there has any clue what might be happening, please let me know, either here or on the wordpress.org site.  Thanks.

Upgrading again

I’ve upgraded both Wordpress itself and K2 (my theme) again.  I’ve also tweaked the default K2 style a little.  Apologies if this breaks things (I can’t test this on IE6 for a day or two), but we should be good soon.

iPhone goodness

I got an iPhone for Christmas. It was a bit of a pain to set up, since I was on 64-bit XP and Apple doesn’t support iTunes on it. I ended up with 32-bit Vista Ultimate. I’ve been excited about the iPhone and its competitors for a while, since they manage to combine six gadgets (all of which I’ve owned separately) in a single device:

  • Mobile phone
  • PDA
  • (mini-)Laptop
  • Camera
  • mp3/video player
  • USB stick

To a certain extent, the iPhone’s touchscreen and typically-Apple UI are just icing on the cake.

It’s obviously not perfect (what is?), but I’m pleased to discover that most of what I would like to be improved should be possible on the current generation:

Would need to be in a new generation Could probably happen with the current generation
  • 3G
  • A better camera (if that’s possible, given the space limitations)
  • More memory (it’s only 8GB)
  • GPS support
  • More battery capacity
  • FM receiver
  • Open it up to 3rd-party native applications
  • Merge the SMS and Voicemail apps into the Mail app - I only want to go to one place to see/hear my various messages
  • Implement a pseudo-GPS system by using the location of various mobile phone towers and link it into Google Maps
  • The ability to sync outside of iTunes
  • The ability to sync with Mozilla applications (thunderbird, firefox, etc)
  • The ability to sync iPhone notes with anything on the PC
  • The ability to sync wirelessly (I can’t believe that I need to plug it in to sync!)
  • Make the contact list accessible directly from the main screen
  • Allow the contact list to be used in the calendar
  • Include groups in the contact list (for sms or email)
  • The ability to record video
  • The ability to use an external keyboard/mouse/monitor (maybe through Bluetooth - does it have enough bandwidth?)
  • Voice recognition (the on-screen keyboard is good for what it is, but supplementing it would be nice)
  • Entirely new applications:
    • Lists (To do, to buy, etc)
    • Dictionary/Thesaurus
    • Instant Messaging (msn msngr, google talk, aim, etc)
    • Some form of VoIP when in an 802.11 area
    • Some sort of money-management
    • MS Office and PDF readers (if not editors)

I know that some of my list are available already for jailbroken iPhones, but I’m hesitant to do that.  I’m going to hold out for a while and see if the rumours about an SDK being released in February are true.

Upgrading wordpress + theme

Apologies for the mess … I’ve upgraded to v2.2.2 of WordPress and moved over to K2 for my theme. If anyone has a recommendation for a K2 style I might use, let me know.

You should notice a few largely-pointless-but-still-pretty-cool AJAX features appearing over the next few days and weeks.

Games consoles: four phases of sales

March figures for game console sales in the USA have been released. Sony’s PS2 is still the biggest seller, with 280,000 units sold. Then comes the Nintendo Wii with 259,000, Microsoft’s Xbox360 with 199,000 and the Sony PS3 with 130,000.

Most discussion will, no doubt, centre on the continuing sales success of the Wii and many commentators will probably suggest that their success is due to the price differences between the consoles. This made me think … I reckon that there are four broad phases in sales for a games console.

In the first phase we have the early adopters, for whom price is of no real concern. They may bitch and moan about it, but they’re always going to buy at pretty much any price. This is when Gabe and Tycho from Penny Arcade buy their systems.

In the second phase, both price and branding/public-perception/coolness-of-the-games come into it, but price is the dominant determinant because the console hasn’t been around long enough to build a reputation. This is when the cool (i.e. rich) kids buy them.

In the third and probably longest phase, reputation and coolness-of-the-games dominate price in determining demand. This is when the poorer (but not dirt-poor) kids, sick of being ostracised by their peers for being terminally uncool, ratchet up the whining until their parents crack.

The fourth phase, which not all consoles reach, is determined entirely by the staying power created by the variety and quality of games. This is when the poorest of the poor decide to give themselves a treat by buying a console that is clearly out of date, but still looks like being worthwhile.

I’d suggest that the consoles are currently:
PS2 - Recently entered the 4th phase
Wii - Recently entered the 2nd phase
360 - Been in the 2nd phase for a while now
PS3 - Approaching the end of the 1st phase

My entry into the world of blogs and web 2.0

In a recent outing to the pub, a couple of friends noted that we were three computer professionals without any real web presense. We might have attempted the odd static site over the years, but none of us had really embraced the whole web 2.0 thing. Realising that this is an embarrassing state of affairs, wanting some sort of common place to store my (public) thoughts and since economists all seem to blog these days anyway, I figured to give it a shot.

Hopefully it won’t turn into another empty, never-updated affair. :)
I’ve also created accounts on Facebook and Myspace, although both accounts are really just stubs at this point. I notice that facebook allows me to publish this blog directly into my facebook account (in the notes area), which is nice. Myspace seems to only allows me to publish (subscribe) to other blogs on myspace.

Are there any other networking sites I ought to be signing on to?